Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 1:42 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Spurs is a strong one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 28th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (61.2%).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has accumulated 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Spurs are on their home court (10th-least in the NBA).
Myles Turner will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.