Myles Turner Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 27th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (37.5%).
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has accumulated 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing away from home this year.
The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Pacers.
Myles Turner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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