Myles Turner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Indiana Pacers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Myles Turner has made 43.1% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 11.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has collected 9.0 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (losing possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).
Myles Turner stands to get a boost in performance for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Myles Turner rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.9 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The rate of shots from behind the three-point arc converted against Jonas Valanciunas has been very low (21.0%) when he is playing on the road and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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