Myles Turner Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Myles Turner

NBA · Player Props

Myles Turner

C-F · Indiana Pacers

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Myles Turner Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from downtown.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.
The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have collected 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise spark extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Myles Turner has successfully made a lowly 14.9% of his 3-pointers this year, quite a bit lower than his 33.6 mark last year.
Myles Turner has tallied 3.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting Cs have shot 20.4% on 3-pointers (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Myles Turner ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this game.

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