Moussa Diabate Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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Moussa Diabate

NBA · Player Props

Moussa Diabate

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

Moussa Diabate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The rate of threes sunk against Nic Claxton has been quite high (41.4%) when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Hornets have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Hornets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Moussa Diabate has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 40.3% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season with the home court advantage.
Moussa Diabate will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increase player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Moussa Diabate ranks in the 6th percentile for 3-point prowess with a weak 0.0% rate this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Charlotte Hornets's unimpressive 100.8 points per game ranks worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Nic Claxton has been remarkably low this year (2.4 foul shots per game when they are at home: 23rd percentile).

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