Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2026

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 28, 2026

Updated Mar 29, 2026 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Hawks's terrific 124.1 points per game settles in as the most in the league over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 6th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (52.6%).
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on their home court.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Kings may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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