Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2025

Updated Apr 15, 2025 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 56.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 28.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a favorable one for scoring; when the Magic are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 10th-highest FG% in the league this year (49.9%).
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Mouhamed Gueye has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Atlanta Hawks.
Mouhamed Gueye has failed to convert 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.4 higher than he's missed overall this season away from home.
Mouhamed Gueye will likely experience a decrease in production across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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