Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 14, 2025 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mouhamed Gueye has made 45.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 5th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Mouhamed Gueye has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season while on his home court.
Mouhamed Gueye will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Hawks check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while at home this year.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one; when the Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Hawks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year (the Magic).
The matchup against Orlando may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Magic are the visiting squad (3rd-least in the league).

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