Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making this a strong matchup.
The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 38.8% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Mouhamed Gueye measures in the 16th percentile for three-point ability while playing away from home with a weak 22.0% rate this year.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Mouhamed Gueye should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this contest.

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