Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 18, 2025

Updated Mar 19, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mouhamed Gueye has successfully made 44.4% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 18.4% more than he's converted overall this season.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a positive one for field goals; when the Charlotte Hornets have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the most field goals per game in the NBA this year (8.7).
The Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 6th-best in the NBA without the home court advantage with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Hornets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.3 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
Mouhamed Gueye is expected to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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