Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mouhamed Gueye has made 51.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.9% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Mouhamed Gueye has sunk 44.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 16.9% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
The matchup against Jalen Wilson is a positive one for 3-point shots; when Wilson is at home other starting PFs this year, they have sunk a whopping 40.1% of their three-pointers (97th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 6th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Hawks have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home when it comes to 3-point attempts.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled 14.6 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Nets, creating a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Hawks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the slowest tempo offense in the league this year (the Nets).
Mouhamed Gueye will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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