Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goals (highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Mouhamed Gueye ranks in the 81st percentile for foul-shot proficiency playing at home with an exceptional 87.5% rate this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Mouhamed Gueye slots into the 14th percentile for three-point performance with a lackluster 21.6% rate this year.
Mouhamed Gueye has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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