Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 8, 2025

Updated Mar 9, 2025 5:00 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 56.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Mouhamed Gueye has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 28.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.
The speediest pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The matchup vs. the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (2.5).
The Pacers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to decrease plays for the Hawks.

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