Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Feb 24, 2025

Updated Feb 25, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a good matchup.
The speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Mouhamed Gueye slots into the 100th percentile for foul-shot performance playing at home with an excellent 100.0% rate this year.
Mouhamed Gueye will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Mouhamed Gueye registers in the 8th percentile for 3-point efficiency while playing at home with a bad 9.0% rate this year.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from facing the least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Heat).
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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