Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Mouhamed Gueye ranks in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, posting a measly 0.9 fouls per game this year.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 7th-best in in the NBA with 11.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Mouhamed Gueye has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.
Mouhamed Gueye will likely get a boost in production in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 2.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 lower than he's made in all games this year when playing at home.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a hard one; when the Magic are the visiting team, they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Atlanta Hawks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Orlando Magic).
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Magic, making it tough to draw fouls.

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