Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have shot 49.9% on shots from the field (10th-highest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game this year when the Magic are playing at home (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 18.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 24.5% lower than he's sunk overall this year while playing on the road.
Mouhamed Gueye has committed 1.9 personal fouls per game over the last 7 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).
Mouhamed Gueye has made 61.1% of his free throw attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 16th percentile among all players in the league.
Mouhamed Gueye figures to experience a decrease in output for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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