Mouhamed Gueye Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 30, 2025

Updated Jan 31, 2025 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-108/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mouhamed Gueye has converted 16.7% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's converted over the course of the year while on the road.
The speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Cavaliers).
The Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Mouhamed Gueye has made 18.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% less than he's made overall this year when playing on the road.
Mouhamed Gueye has accumulated 1.9 personal fouls per game over the last 7 games, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Hawks's poor 26.4% rate of drained threes settles in as the worst in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.1% on field goals (4th-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, branding this as a hard matchup.
Mouhamed Gueye will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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