Mouhamed Gueye Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2025

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Mouhamed Gueye

NBA · Player Props

Mouhamed Gueye

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 18, 2025

Updated Apr 18, 2025 10:43 PM EST

Analysis

Mouhamed Gueye Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA at home this year.
The Hawks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Mouhamed Gueye will likely see a spike in production in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mouhamed Gueye has posted 0.7 assists per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA by this metric.
Mouhamed Gueye has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's committed overall this season.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

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