Moses Moody Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2025

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Moses Moody

NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 25, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 11:29 PM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has attempted 10.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Moses Moody has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 7.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a good matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 3rd-best in the league as the visting team with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Warriors.
Moses Moody will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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