Moses Moody Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Moses Moody

NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has attempted 6.4 field goals per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 3.6 rate last year.
Moses Moody has successfully made 47.2% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 12.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Warriors rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Moses Moody has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Golden State Warriors will likely see a decline in possessions today from squaring off against the 5th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
As a team, the Warriors have been poor at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: worst in the league over the last 25 games with just 15.8 free throws per game.
Moses Moody will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.

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