Moses Moody Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Moses Moody

NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has attempted 6.4 field goals per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 3.6 mark last year.
Moses Moody has been on the court for a terrific 18.9 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 13.0 minutes per game last year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 1stbest in in the league with 15.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have collected 10.0 offensive boards per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a mere 19.2 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Warriors's unimpressive 112.7 points per game as the home team rates 10th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has tallied 37.6 3-point attempts per game (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The 8th-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Warriors.
Moses Moody has successfully made just 65.4% of his free throws this season, significantly less than his 74.3 mark last season.

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