Moses Moody Points - Player Prop Bet 11/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 28, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has attempted 5.9 shots from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.6 mark last season.
Compared to last year's 12.6 mark, Moses Moody's playing time has surged this year to 17.3 minutes per game.
The Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Sacramento Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Moses Moody has accumulated 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The Warriors rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have averaged 43.8 buckets per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, resulting in a positive matchup.
Moses Moody has converted a mere 59.1% of his foul shots this season, a sizeable decrease from his 74.3 mark last season.
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team has attempted a monstrous 27.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).