Moses Moody Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Moses Moody

NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.2 lower than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has tallied 106.1 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team has attempted 19.9 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making it tough to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Moses Moody has converted 37.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.0% lower than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year, their opposition has come down with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
Moses Moody will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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