Moses Moody Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2023

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Moses Moody

NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 20, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has made 74.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 29.9% more than he's converted in all games this season.
Moses Moody has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (11th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Moses Moody has been on the court for 12.4 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 22nd percentile.
This matchup is a favorable one for scoring; opposing clubs have put up the 2nd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (49.3%).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, averaging a measly 20.2 free throws per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 23.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (10th-most in the league).

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