Moses Moody Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Moses Moody

NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 12, 2023

Updated May 13, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Moses Moody has put up 0.8 assists per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 23rd percentile.
When playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.2) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Moses Moody will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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