Moses Moody Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2023

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Moses Moody

NBA · Player Props

Moses Moody

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 20, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 1:46 AM EST

Analysis

Moses Moody Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Moses Moody has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the league (11th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Kings have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Kings have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Moses Moody has put up 0.6 assists per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA by this metric.
Moses Moody has been on the court for 12.4 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 22nd percentile.

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