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Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic

 
 
 
Moritz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Moritz Wagner ranks in the 89th percentile for field goal proficiency with a a superb 58.1% rate this year.
  • This year, opposing clubs have totaled 26.9 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
  • The Orlando Magic have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
  • The Magic are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Pacers).
  • Moritz Wagner has converted 79.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 9.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Moritz Wagner measures in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
  • The Orlando Magic check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 13.2 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense).
  • This year, the other team has attempted 27.5 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Pacers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
  • Moritz Wagner will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production across the board.

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