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Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Moritz Wagner Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Magic have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which ought to raise opportunities for the Magic.
  • The Orlando Magic rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has secured 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pistons (reducing possessions that could otherwise create added opportunities for offense).
  • Relative to last year's 85.8% clip, Moritz Wagner's free-throw effectiveness has surged this year to 90.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Moritz Wagner has sunk just 57.0% of his field goal attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 51.3 rate last season.
  • Out of all players in the league, Moritz Wagner registers in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.4 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
  • The Orlando Magic check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
  • This matchup is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Detroit Pistons are playing at home, their opposition has compiled the 8th-highest three rate in the league against them this year (37.9%).
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted 27.0 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

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