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Monte Morris

Monte Morris Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks

Monte Morris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 1.2 clip, Monte Morris's personal fouls per game have dropped this season to 0.3.

In regard to offense, the Timberwolves's superb 124.4 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.

Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 8.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).

Monte Morris will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Monte Morris has converted a mere 33.1% of his field goals this year, a sizeable decrease from his 47.5 rate last year.

Relative to last year's 27.3 rate, Monte Morris's playing time has dropped this year to 12.6 minutes per game.

This matchup is a strong one; when the Milwaukee Bucks are the visiting team, they have allowed the 7th-most points per game in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (121.1).

The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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