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Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Mitchell Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Mitchell Robinson stands to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 66.6% rate, Mitchell Robinson's shooting performance has diminished this year to 59.6%.

Compared to last year's 2.5 clip, Mitchell Robinson's personal fouls per game have risen this year to 2.8.

As it relates to shooting, the New York Knicks's unimpressive 110.1 points per game settles in as the 7th-fewest in the league this year.

The matchup against Miami is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.5).

The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.

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