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Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Mitchell Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mitchell Robinson has successfully made 59.7% of his shot attempts from the field on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mitchell Robinson has attempted 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mitchell Robinson has attempted 0.0 3-point shots per game away from home this year, putting him in the 3rd percentile among all players in the league.

Mitchell Robinson has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (89th percentile).

The New York Knicks have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (12.2).

The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road.

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