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Mitchell Robinson

Mitchell Robinson Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Mitchell Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mitchell Robinson has converted 68.5% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Knicks.

The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mitchell Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mitchell Robinson has attempted 0.0 treys per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Mitchell Robinson has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (12.3).

The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

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