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Mike Muscala

Mike Muscala Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Mike Muscala Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Brook Lopez is a good one for attempts from downtown; when Lopez is on his home court and defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.2 3-point shots per game (100th percentile).

The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Celtics.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game (10th percentile).

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