Mike Conley Steals - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 6, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+136/-189).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -244 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 1.2 steals per game this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric in recent games.
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley measures in the 77th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 29.0 minutes per game this year.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley ought to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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