Mike Conley Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Steals

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 1.1 steals per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard recently: 89th percentile.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production across the board.

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