Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 6, 2025

Updated May 7, 2025 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Mike Conley will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has totaled 0.4 offensive rebounds per game at home this year, placing him in the 24th percentile -- one of the worst in the NBA by this metric.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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