Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 16, 2024

Updated May 17, 2024 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 3.6 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 4.7 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
Mike Conley is expected to get a boost in productivity across the board on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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