Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 6:20 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up 1.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's put up over the course of the year.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
Mike Conley will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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