Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games at home, 5.0 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 8th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Chicago Bulls).
Mike Conley stands to see a spike in effectiveness across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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