Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 16, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has totaled 1.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's totaled in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Mike Conley ranks in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 28.9 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Mike Conley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production across the board.

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