Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 3.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 5.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has secured 8.8 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks (shortening possessions that could otherwise create extra chances for offense).
Mike Conley will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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