Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-166).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has played 29.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
Playing at home, the Clippers have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has put up 0.3 offensive rebounds per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 21st percentile -- one of the worst in the league by this metric.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Mike Conley will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production for all stats.

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