Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 12:55 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has tallied 0.3 offensive boards per game on the road this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the worst in the league by this metric.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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