Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 6:03 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.3 minutes per game this year.

Favors Under

The 7th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).
Mike Conley will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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