Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 7, 2024 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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