Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower stat production across the board.

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