Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 14 games away from his home court, 4.6 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 18 games in their home stadium, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boost player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has posted a measly 0.3 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 0.7 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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