Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has put up a terrific 1.0 offensive boards per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 0.4 offensive boards per game last year.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 15.7 offensive rebounds per game (most in the league) vs. the Pelicans (saving possessions that can bring about added chances for offense).
Mike Conley will likely see a decline in production in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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