Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Boston Celtics · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 30.2 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-quickest pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing clubs have come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics (losing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).
Mike Conley is expected to see an increase in output in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 4thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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