Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:26 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should reduce possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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